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In a move reflecting a significant shift in U.S.-China relations, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has assembled a cabinet of figures known for their hardline stances on China. Among them is someone who described China as an "existential threat," another who called for a "whole-of-society effort" to confront China, and others who claimed that the Chinese military is "specifically dedicated to defeating the United States."
Notable controversial appointments include Senator Marco Rubio as Secretary of State, a prominent critic of China in Congress who is currently under Chinese sanctions. Similarly, Mike Waltz has been nominated as National Security Advisor, having repeatedly asserted that the Chinese Communist Party is in a "cold war" with America.
Beijing Prepares for Challenges
Unlike the surprise that caught Chinese leaders off guard during Trump’s first term, Beijing now seems better prepared to handle this confrontational approach. Experts suggest that China might seek to establish backchannels through individuals close to Trump, such as Elon Musk, who has extensive business interests in China.
Yun Sun, Director of the China Program at the Stimson Center in Washington, noted, "Trump's new team consists mostly, if not entirely, of China hawks, meaning policies will likely escalate competition with China to unprecedented levels."
China and the Taiwan Challenge
Taiwan is expected to be a major point of contention, especially with Rubio’s consistent support for the island as a U.S. partner. During his campaign, Trump suggested that U.S.-Taiwan relations might take a more "transactional" approach, describing Taiwan as having "stolen the chip industry" from America.
Economic Interests in the Balance
Despite the anticipated escalation, some believe that Trump himself might remain more flexible than his team. Wang Yiwei, Professor of International Studies at Renmin University in Beijing, stated, "Trump leans toward deal-making and will work to ensure his team aligns with his vision."
However, with Trump threatening to raise tariffs on Chinese imports to 60%, economists warn that such a move could severely harm China's economy.
An Uncertain Future
As Trump’s second inauguration approaches, U.S.-China relations stand at a new crossroads filled with uncertainty, with Beijing bracing for a more strained and contentious phase across various fronts.
